Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 24.706325 28.546286 32.698510 37.511122 42.924163 48.812746 55.691476
2025-01-26 19.425947 25.049846 31.705916 40.108144 50.369771 62.429224 77.602572
2025-02-02 16.780105 23.563492 32.166512 43.742319 58.756478 77.402700 102.117456
2025-02-09 13.968333 21.138400 30.793483 44.510077 63.218151 87.530352 121.142791
2025-02-16 11.658857 18.885041 29.154604 44.462536 66.275817 95.750166 137.983739
2025-02-23 9.774872 16.873723 27.478851 43.995982 68.478912 102.727220 153.370635
2025-03-02 8.316434 15.242559 26.082778 43.661394 70.667962 109.641359 168.909061
2025-03-09 7.126381 13.833746 24.806311 43.286109 72.635993 116.219160 184.208620
2025-03-16 5.748655 11.870244 22.367471 40.764752 71.010091 117.264121 191.323104
2025-03-23 5.251168 11.390428 22.317220 42.072382 75.428920 127.604394 212.815507
2025-03-30 4.887292 11.099229 22.542693 43.829984 80.655727 139.440795 237.165670
2025-04-06 4.206039 10.075220 21.324708 42.942368 81.378920 144.151298 250.591194
2025-04-13 3.454390 8.814038 19.576046 41.051002 80.454292 146.498593 261.021271
2025-04-20 3.292162 8.800683 20.244231 43.710020 87.748058 162.936690 295.394896
2025-04-27 3.257001 9.067455 21.498649 47.592727 97.512954 184.088210 338.653331
2025-05-04 2.936543 8.607752 21.199149 48.412664 101.728971 195.993350 367.060569
2025-05-11 2.585856 8.003457 20.507075 48.360433 104.281002 205.112608 391.158741
2025-05-18 2.250366 7.366122 19.648967 47.858493 105.897271 212.613641 412.774624
2025-05-25 1.969858 6.814077 18.902824 47.498609 107.729913 220.560051 435.505841
2025-06-01 1.723898 6.303111 18.177600 47.094956 109.416208 228.290568 458.177219
2025-06-08 1.392629 5.456300 16.504780 44.382142 106.151775 226.560220 463.629703
2025-06-15 1.300683 5.331002 16.628843 45.789265 111.548648 241.501042 500.258232
2025-06-22 1.236636 5.283194 16.947648 47.679919 118.091997 258.958926 542.287394